Category Archives: Political – thoughts

I just really don’t like politics, but when blatant infringements on common sense and civility abound, I am obliged to comment. These are personal thoughts, nothing else.

Love casts out fear and hate

“No one is born hating another person because of the color of his skin or his background or his religion … People must learn to hate, and if they can learn to hate, they can be taught to love … For love comes more naturally to the human heart than its opposite,” Obama said, quoting former South African president Nelson Mandela”. This is lifted from a google search for Obama’s tweets about Charlottesville violence.

It brought tears to my eyes and reinforced the differences in style between this past president and the current one. The difference is as big as the grand canyon.
But i also am a biologist, and also a student of religion. It is clear that identification of “self” and “others similar to self” is a big part of survival, procreation, continuation of the species. We need to be taught to “hate” but we are wired to “love like minded and like-looking humans”.

Some religions, cultures, philosophies, teach that LOVE casts out fear, and it is typically fear that causes us to “hate” or be “aggressive”. Other religions teach people to “HATE and OBLITERATE” what is different in an effort to allay their fears about survival. Fear itself is either learned, or experienced or both. Extrapolate teachings and experiences, to unhealthy mindsets, and daily situations, and one ends up an enormous amount of fear, hate and violence.  We need to overcome fear with the more powerful force, which is LOVE.

BOOM

Thus TWEETS the president: “Military solutions are now fully in place, locked and loaded, should North Korea act unwisely. Hopefully Kim Jong Un will find another path! ”   so sad to say but THESE ARE BOTH DUCKS OF THE SAME FEATHER.  Who says stuff like this except individuals who are just not in touch with reality, nor do they care about anything except their self esteem (which in both cases is below my shoe sole).  This is Lose-Lose…since we already know Kim Jong Un will be unwise, as will be Trump.

and did trump really tweet this in january… apparently so.

“North Korean Leader Kim Jong Un just stated that the “Nuclear Button is on his desk at all times.” Will someone from his depleted and food starved regime please inform him that I too have a Nuclear Button, but it is a much bigger & more powerful one than his, and my Button works!”   what a dumbnut.

These good words on why love should cast out fear: the result, better governance

Awesome text and recounting (albeit in the past) of how the election was won.  Please read it HERE for yourselves, but if you don’t want to make the leap to a new site, i have cut and pasted it below, with kind thanks to Sci Am, but be sure I will add a few comments below which will be in bold italics so you can sort them from the original article.

In case you missed it, on June 24th the UK voted to leave the European Union. This was despite the overwhelming number of experts saying that this would be a terrible idea. Yet, when the experts spoke, clearly only 48% of the population listened.

Brexit proponent and politician Michael Gove, even made it part of his platform to fight the nerds; “people in this country have had enough of experts.” Because, what do experts know about things, right? Wrong.

In a clearly historic referendum with immediate consequences, 52% of the population voted for Brexit. As the nerds predicted, the currency immediately plunged, the prospect of Scotland leaving the UK became “highly likely,” and many people felt betrayed by their country. Some of those who voted to leave immediately felt “regrexit” about their choice.

So, why should you care? Because our pro-Brexit politicians mirrored Trump’s campaign tactics and won. Far beyond the comparatively sensible argument of political sovereignty, Brexit campaigners won with anti-immigration invective, lies, and a misguided attempt to reclaim a past that never was. The press claimed we needed to make Britain great again. That’s not to say that the remain campaign did not try to use the fear as well – particularly the fear of a ruined economy—to try to keep the UK in the EU, but this was not nearly as emotional an appeal as the tactics used by the Brexit camp.

I have already written about the influence of false memories of a glorious past on political voting, but xenophobia and expert shaming are on another level all-together.

What I’m saying to you, my dear American friends, is that if these tactics can win in the UK, they can also win in the US. It adds to my concern that Trump winning the US presidency is a definite possibility. I don’t think that another campaign like Obama’s, which was largely based on a positive vision for the future and a generally logical approach, will win an election in the current social climate.

If you don’t want an unqualified maniac running your country, listen up. HAHA

An appeal to fear (LYING< EMAIL HACKING, LIAR, PUT IN JAIL)

The kind of fear-driven political propaganda used by Trump and the Brexiters is called argumentum ad metum, or an ‘appeal to fear.’ This is a logically unsound way of presenting information. This approach tries to argue”

Either P or Q is true.

Q is scary.

Therefore, P is true.  (SO insightful)

Although this is an invalid argument, making no logical sense, on its surface it can be quite compelling. This is because fear is a powerful motivator, in terms of memory and decision-making.

(OK this is going to be a periperal comment, but so important…. but do you see why the campaign (of christ which is “love one another, love your enemy, do good, do not be afraid) is a rational life-choice….. Love casts out fear, if in fear we use peripheral processing, less than rational we make decisions without using the facts. But when we use love for all brothers, as a way to minimize fear, then in love we use central processing, making rational decisions about life and daily events… too awesome)

Why fear wins

As I talk about for an entire chapter in my new book, The Memory Illusion, emotion and memory have a complex relationship. But research suggests that, overall, we are more likely to remember a statement that is highly emotional than something that is not.

This is mostly because adding emotions to claims means that we are storing two separate things – the claim and the emotion. For memory, this adds some complexity to the storage of this information in your brain, making a bigger memory network that is more likely to be recalled later.

We also know that emotions, particularly fear, can have a profound impact on decision making. When we are afraid, or asked to focus on arguments based on fear, we generally shift into something called peripheral processing.

Peripheral processing happens when we form an opinion based on cues that surround an argument, at its periphery. This is the information, like emotion, or the attractiveness of a speaker, that is related to how a message is presented rather than the message itself.

This is why arguments suggesting that the EU is bullying the U.K., or that migrants to the U.S. could be undercover ISIS agents, lead to decisions that are often less-than-evidence-based.

Why “ordinary people” don’t trust experts

Peripheral processing is also why people might ignore the advice of experts. They are focusing on their emotion and other things that don’t actually contribute to the logic of an argument.

Peripheral processing stands in contrast to so-called central processing. Central processing refers to situations in which we try to make deliberate arguments where we weigh the evidence and logic of the argument. This is almost always what experts do.

These are both part of something called the Elaboration Likelihood Model. As it turns out, this model suggests that we rarely can engage in both types of decision-making at once. That means that if we have been lulled into a superficial (peripheral), engagement with the information that we are asked to make decisions about, this largely excludes our ability to process the information deeply (central).

When pundits argue that people don’t need experts, they are actively trying to push you from using central processing to a peripheral approach. They are asking you to turn off your logic and turn on your emotion, because they know that it is difficult to use logic once fear takes over.

This is also why politicians like Trump and the Brexiters like to say they represent “ordinary people.” Of course, “ordinary people” don’t exist. Even if they did, they’d be unlikely to be a billionaire or an old-Etonian who delivers speeches in Latin. Presenters of such arguments are trying to make you feel negative emotions against an imaginary opponent (usually the ‘elites,’ who also don’t actually exist), trying to get you to disregard evidence and logic.

What I want to leave you with is this; know that emotion-based campaigns can be incredibly compelling, and that they can severely cloud memory and decision making. Don’t repeat the mistakes of the British EU ‘Remain’ campaign, which severely overestimated the impact of calling on evidence and experts to convince people to vote in their favor.

If you want an effective campaign, you need more than logic and evidence, you also need a strong appeal to fundamental emotions. Unless you want Trump as your next president, that is.

the “Era of Strategic Patience” is over for North Korea

come on…..  this administration is so out of touch, we need something besides terrorists as our leaders. Stooping to the level of North Korea makes them low lifers, just like those they disagree with.  No brains on either side.  Who voted for these people to run america, you should be ashamed. looking at what is posted (far left column with more red than blue), the approval of the american public is not in lock-step with the administrators’ (pres and vp)  opinions.

This plot, obtained from the internet makes me wonder what truman (far right) did right…. seems someone should be paying attention to this.

And there you have it!

Biggest bomb ever, dropped by the the biggest idiot ego ever. This is not my kind of president, and not my kind of American. So sad, and it certainly does not mesh with how I would help any war torn nation.  Maybe some of the security $$ from the Florida white house should be used for immigration, and safe passage and peace negotiations.

I do believe there must be some underlying bullying that occurred in this mans life that makes him behave like a bully himself.  Lord help all those Americans who don’t like the track this administration is taking us.

 

Approving of presidents

“Two months into his Presidency, Gallup has Mr. Trump’s approval rating at 39%. No doubt Mr. Trump considers that fake news, but if he doesn’t show more respect for the truth most Americans may conclude he’s a fake President.”  THIS IS A QUOTE from the Wall Street Journal.

I checked several sites for approval ratings during presidencies. I found a couple of nice charts. It seems that presidents get a boost after just taking office, in approval rating that is, then the decline starts… It seems more like a pattern, an inevitable grumpyness and disappointment that changes promised in campaigns are not delivered.

So Truman leaves office with widespread disapproval (lowest of all presidents from 1945 onward).  The polls that give marks as high as 59 % are few, and I have to think that if 59% is the top mark for any president over the last half century, then indeed, we are a divided nation.

Taking the above “sweet honeymoon” period info from published presidential approval ratings,  Trump will end up down around 5% just like Truman.

And then go to wikipedia and find totally different results…. In my book, results should be results, but apparently not.  Wikipedia indicates that all presidents are within a few points of each other….  What gives.  These graphs for Bush (top) Obama (middle) and Trump (bottom) show that Bush went out on a low note, Obama was pretty much even through the presidency….Trump (however short his tenure has been in three months…  Starting out low, will likely be no different than almost all president’s downward slide in approval till they leave office. As mentioned, this is an opinion pole, it may speak more to the polled and the pollsters than the president in question.  So much for Trump’s statements that we are all very “happy” with him.

The bottom line:  ha ha… write your own.